tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6804774922458007587.post4511718770674972325..comments2009-04-14T09:11:32.394+01:00Comments on The Experiment: Self-Indulgent Bullshit: Champion Tipster Day 3Graeme Dandhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508032031340730990noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6804774922458007587.post-47248261584795545032008-08-20T14:57:00.000+01:002008-08-20T14:57:00.000+01:00G, I thought I would just post a few thoughts o...G,<BR/> I thought I would just post a few thoughts on your races before they took place (I’m sure you’ll get plenty of comment after the runners have flashed past the post !).<BR/>I’ve already shared most of these with you – but it might be interesting for your readers too have a slightly different take on things…<BR/> In the first race, I can buy into your argument for Icannshift - but I’ll be surprised if one or two of his opponents don’t collar him near the line. His last 3 runs have been in a lower class of race (without success) and he’s 8 years old now (so he’s not improving). I accept that conditions are just right for him – but he will need non of the opposition to be improving (and I think this unlikely). At 12-1, I thought he might be worth a risk: at 7-1, he’s not for me (though I could see him trading shorter IR and he may well hang on for a place).<BR/> Malapropsim in the last is a different proposition. Unfortunately, there are a few NRs in the race, so his price has contracted – but one of those would have provided competition for the lead – so his absence is a bonus. I think ‘the Dazzler’ can fire him out of the gates and build up an unassailable lead. 4-1 strikes me as a generous price (even though it’s way below the odds I normally consider – I’d want a zero on the end - LOL !). The added bonus, is that he again looks a sure fire back to lay IR…<BR/> If your readers want a speculative punt between your two races, I would suggest Cabo Polonio in the 6:25. It’s currently available at 25-1 – and could easily be double or half those odds at he off ! It could also finish either first or last- but IMO, it’s got a chance and 25-1 is too big a price...<BR/> GL with your selections – whatever happens to Cabo !<BR/>A.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com