Reason for improvement in recent results....

I got involved in one race today and managed to generate a riskfree bet on Betfair on my mobile whilst at work. Unfortunately, one of my other shortlisted horses won at 9/1, so it was a break-even day for me!

I'm conscious of the fact that regular readers of my blog have witnessed a dramatic improvement in my results over the last month. This can be primarily attributable to two main reasons. The first reason is my new strategy.


My strategy now involves trading pre-race to generate a riskfree bet on the horse or horses I think are most likely to win. I then leave in low lays to lay off if the horses run well and if they win, I will win from the riskfree bet. If I haven't been able to generate a rsikfree bet before the off, I will let the bet go in-running and leave in my usual lays.

So far, I have not had a losing day since I changed strategy at the start of last month. My last losing day was 5th April.

Amazingly, I have only had 4 losing races in 91 races since I changed strategy. This is an amazing run and is due to the type of horse that I am now trading. I only trade horses which I think are likely to win, so this results in most of my horses getting backed pre-race, so trading them is very easy. However, even when I don't get a riskfree bet pre-race, I let my bet go in-running and lay off then.

Out of my 4 losses, 3 of them were due to very bad pre-race trading and one was due to letting my bet go in-play and not taking a small riskfree bet.

The second reason for the upturn in results is definitely due to the fact I have started working with 2 other people to find the best horses to trade and back. Knocker and Andrew are both very knowledgeable on the horse-racing and between the three of us, we appear to compliment each other very well.

I tend to concentrate on official ratings and finding well handicapped horses, Knocker also does this but looks at pace angles and draw aspects in particular. Andrew uses his vast experience to give a wider overview of the race and so far, it's been working great.

Our results from each race analysis are:

28th April 4.50 Ling – GD – 5th at 16/1
28th April 2.30 Yarm – DN – 1st at 7/1
28th April 3.30 Yarm – DN – 3rd at 10/1, AR – 2nd at 4/1
28th April 4.30 Yarm – GD – 4th at 28/1
28th April 5.00 Yarm – GD – 3 horses selected with 1st at 8/1
28th April 6.25 South – GD – 1st at 13/8
28th April 6.55 South – GD – 5th at 6/1
28th April 7.55 South – GD 4th at 7/1
29th April 4.00 South – DN – 2 selections with 1st at 5/1
29th April 4.40 Bath – AR – 5 selections, 1st at 9/1
30th April 4.30 Ascot – AR – 5th at 15/2
30th April 5.05 Ascot – AR – 2 selections with 1st at 11/8
1st May 3.50 Folk – AR/DN – 1st at 11/2, GD - 6th at 15/2
1st May 5.30 Red – DN – 3 selections with 1st at 3/1
1st May 7.20 Great Leighs – GD – 2 selections with 1st at 14/1
2nd May 3.20 Muss – AR – 3rd at 11/1, DN – 1st at 4/9
2nd May 4.00 South – DN – 2 selections with 4th at 5/1
3rd May 2.30 Good – GD – 2 selections with 1st at 1/2
3rd May 3.05 Good – GD – 4 selections with 1st at 7/2
3rd May 3.10 Thirsk – GD – 6 selections with first 4 home and 1st at 7/2
3rd May 3.45 Thirsk – GD – 2 selections with 1st at 4/1
3rd May 4.55 Thirsk – GD – 4 selections with 3rd at 9/1
4th May 4.05 Ham – AR/GD – 1st at 10/1
4th May 4.50 Salis – AR – 2 selections with 4th at 20/1
5th May 5.00 Kemp – GD – 2 selections with 3rd at 12/1
5th May 5.05 Wind – AR – 9th at 15/2, GD – 1st at 16/1
6th May 4.05 South – GD – 3 selections with 2nd at 7/1
6th May 7.05 Catt – DN – 4 selections were first 4 home with 1st at 8/1, GD – 7th at 14/1
7th May 2.30 Bev – DN – 3 selections with 1st at 7/1
7th May 3.05 Bev – AR – 1st at 4/1

At close of play on 7th May:

30 races analysed
69 individual horses selected
19 winners selected

Winning race % = 63%
Winning horses % = 28%

Winning Odds are: 7/1, 8/1, 13/8, 5/1, 9/1, 11/8, 11/2, 3/1, 14/1, 4/9, 1/2, 7/2, 7/2, 4/1, 10/1, 16/1, 8/1, 7/1, 4/1

For £10 level stakes on the 69 individual horses, we are showing a £610 profit.

In races where we have only selected one horse between us:

9 races
4 winners (44%)

Winnings odds are: 7/1, 13/8, 10/1, 4/1

For £10 level stakes on these 9 horses, we are showing a £175 profit.