I don’t really have the time to write a long post but basically, Golden Prospect runs in the 4.00 at Wolverhampton today.
The horse’s last win was over this course and distance with the same jockey on board as today. It won fairly well off a mark of 69 and it came with a sweeping run down the outside off a decent pace.
Today, it runs off a mark of 66 (3lbs lower) but the race looks very competitive. On the form book, it’s not even certain to beat It’s A Dream as this was the horse who was 2nd when Golden Prospect was 4th in that race that worked out very well. However, I would argue that Golden may be better on the AW than this one, so he can turn the form around IMO.
I see that he’s wearing cheekpieces today for the first time which may help it. The fact it runs so quickly after disappointing at Sandown can be viewed as a positive or a negative. I’ll happily settle for the argument that it didn’t go on the ground at Sandown and therefore, the jockey wasn’t too hard on it when its chance was gone. Hence, it can run well today.
In summary, I was obviously more confident last week since I thought it was in top form. Obviously, my confidence was reduced greatly when the ground changed to soft and I’m sure that’s why it ran disappointingly. However, it may be the case that the horse just ran poorly and therefore, I couldn’t be as confident today.
I don’t have a clue what price it may be as I can’t access Betfair Mobile at the moment as they are changing the software. I left in backs last night at between 17-22, so I’m hoping it may be in this sort of price range but I’m really not 100% sure as I haven’t spent time on the race to come up with my own tissue.